Posted 12:15 pm PT
Apparently, Secretary Tillerson sent a letter to Senator Corker with a chart showing that there are 2K more FSOs today than in 2008. Well, not because of anything special he did after he came into office in February 2017 but due to concerted efforts that started in 2001 and slowed down in 2012.
Lets’ rewind to 1993, two years after the dissolution of the Soviet Union and see what happened at the State Department. Read The Last Time @StateDept Had a 27% Budget Cut, Congress Killed ACDA and USIA.
In 2001, Secretary Colin Powell arrived in Foggy Bottom and made staffing the agency a priority. He secured funding for his Diplomatic Readiness Initiative (DRI) which added 1,000 new positions to improve the Department’s diplomatic capacity and restore workforce capabilities. According to the State Department, “the DRI blueprint addressed new foreign policy initiatives, emerging priorities, and staffing deficits caused by the downsizing requirements of the mid-1990’s.”
On March 20, 2003, the United States invaded Iraq.
The State Department notes that “Staffing demands of Department operations in Iraq and Afghanistan diverted human resources and created vacancies at many other posts around the world. The growth of language- designated positions (LDPs) from roughly 3,000 in 2003 to over 4,270 in 2015 increased the Department’s training needs and diverted even more human resources.”
So despite the DRI gains from 2002 to 2004, those positions were reportedly eroded through 2008.
Secretary Hillary Clinton came into office in January 2009. Early in her tenure, she promoted Diplomacy 3.0:
“Diplomacy 3.0” represents the three essential pillars of U.S. foreign policy: diplomacy, development, and defense. With Diplomacy 3.0, we are building diplomatic readiness, ensuring that diplomacy is again ready and able to address our nation’s growing and increasingly complex foreign policy challenges. To meet our expanding mission, we need Foreign Service personnel prepared to engage on a growing list of complex global issues from stabilization and reconstruction, to terrorism and international crime, to nuclear nonproliferation and the environment. Our diplomats also must be prepared to engage foreign audiences directly in their own languages, languages that may well require two or more years of study. To meet these needs, Secretary Clinton envisions a multi-year hiring plan that increases the Department’s Foreign Service by 25 percent. Meeting an expanding mission and properly staffing overseas posts, many of which are either difficult or dangerous, requires more personnel trained in the various skills demanded of the 21st Century’s smart diplomacy.
The State Department notes that it made significant gains during Diplomacy 3.0 through FY 2012 in addressing known challenges, such as staffing gaps and improving the language proficiency of the Foreign Service corps. During the first two years of D3.0 hiring (2009 and 2010), the Department made significant progress in enhancing its language capabilities, filling key overseas vacancies, and providing resources for critical new strategic priorities through unprecedented levels of hiring. It further notes the following:
Diplomacy 3.0 (D3.0) increased the Department’s Foreign Service position base by 23 percent and the Civil Service (CS) by ten percent through FY 2013. However, much of this growth was attributable to increases in fee-funded Consular and Security positions. Without these positions, net FS position growth was roughly 13 percent.
D3.0 achieved about half its goal of a 25% leap (fee-funded positions excepted) but FY2011 marked a dramatic shift in the immediate funding environment. Then came the sequestration funding cuts enacted during FY 2013 and with that, the Department’s budget decreased and along with it, the robust hiring from the initial D3.0 years suffered. In 2012, we blogged that D3.0 was expected to conclude in FY2023 (see Foreign Service Staffing Gaps, and Oh, Diplomacy 3.0 Hiring Initiative to Conclude in FY2023).
Starting in FY 2014, the Department’s annual appropriations reportedly supported hiring to replace projected Foreign and Civil Service attrition, with additional hiring in fee-funded Consular and Security skill categories. The State Department already anticipated a more difficult funding environment for staffing. It appears that the agency was prepared for hiring flexibilities with visa fee funded, security and medical skill group levels, but estimated a relatively static workforce level. It did not anticipate that it would face a dramatic 8% staffing cuts, and hiring below attrition until 2020.
We’re all inside a fantastic television show: “All this has happened before, and all this will happen again.”
If history is any indication, the anticipated losses in positions under Tillerson could be reversed starting in 2020-2024 at the earliest (depending on who will next sit in the White House and his/her priorities), or in 2033 at the latest. Why 2033? That’s the 16 years between the time Secretary Christopher slashed State staffing by 27% in 1993 and when Secretary Clinton started a multi year plan in 2009 to add 25% to the Department’s staffing.
A note on this chart below, the career ambassador under 2017 says 3. At the beginning of 2017, there were 6 career ambassadors – Tom Shannon, Steve Mull, Victoria Nuland, Kristie Kenney, Bill Brownfield, and Anne Patterson. Ambassador Brownfield left at the end of September. Currently only two career ambassadors are left – Ambassadors Shannon and Mull.
— Kylie Atwood (@kylieatwood) November 17, 2017
— Elise Labott (@eliselabottcnn) November 16, 2017